This is your SolarWakeup for August 6th

MIPs and TRQs. The administration is going to announce a long anticipated minimum import price under the 232 polysilicon case any moment now. Here’s what you need to know. This is meant to drive up the price of all modules imported in the US above the price that domestic producers want. With enough domestic production, you should be able to buy modules well below the MIP if the competition is thorough and there is no collusion on pricing. (Different topic). Here’s what comes next, you’re likely to see two things. A flurry of supply announcements between domestic factories and IPPs that are trying to lock in production, something that solar has actually done not enough of based on the earnings announcements this week. (You know your backlog but keep buying at the market to try and save a penny but then screw up your schedule). The bigger story that few people know is that there is likely to be a TRQ, tariff rate quota that allows some domestic producers to import parts of their module based on their investment levels (or as details emerge during the announcements). This will allow some factories to have access to imported cells while building out their domestic supply chain but not be subject to all the tariffs. This is where the rush will be to lock in the supply of pre and post factory startup. More to come, get your deals done today. 

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for August 5th

Minimum Import Price? The section 232 on poly looks to be coming soon, at least it seems so by some companies’ stock price pops. With a likely MIP (minimum import price) on modules, the question comes on how it will drive domestic factories and does it need a 45x extension bill in order to really drive that. At what MIP will the market slow in a way that is painful or can the off taker market manage it, those are the questions I am hearing right now. 

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for August 4th

The LFP Scale Up. Samsung is building out their domestic LFP production and already highlights that demand will outpace their capacity which is a reasonable start to take. There is an overlap of the demand between the auto and energy sectors and finding the volumes that will drive pricing and cost structures. The trade cases will also come to the storage market, which will surely take some time to find a rationalization as well. 

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for August 3rd

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for July 31st

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This is your SolarWakeup for July 30th

Inverter Rule Deployed. Just as I wrote about my concerns on the inverters, the FCC came out with a rule about inverter production. Somewhat going further than I expected in that it ‘bans’ all countries of origin but then limits it to ‘new models’. Having heard some experts on what this could mean and how it rolls out, there is room for interpretation on how bad and impactful this could be. More to come. 

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for July 29th

Inverter Supply Chains. I worry about this one and worry about the lack of concern from the broader market. Whatever happens at the DC level could range from disruptive to market altering but any situation will cause headaches for the market. The growth of domestic manufacturing will have to come from players that are subpar and not ready for primetime while the larger folks have learned their lessons with scaling power manufacturing. My point being, you should get ahead of this now. 

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for July 28th

A Premium Launch. Next month, after 14 years, I’ll be launching a limited size premium distribution of the SolarWakeup commentary. Consider it a micro consulting view of the solar market reserved for those of you that want another voice in your dataset on the most important trend. A two-way conversation to shape the dialogue and get inputs from your competitors and peers to help your decision making. More information coming soon. 

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for July 27th

We’re Back! Heading into the Summer finale, SolarWakeup is back to full-time scheduling, which means 3-4 episodes a week to bring you the meaningful news of the day that affects executives in the solar industry. Please share this with your colleagues who may not be staying up to date. I have some exciting updates for you this week on some new launches within the platform. It’s always great to hear from you, if you have news, tips or ideas of interesting things in solar, you can hit reply to these emails and get right into my inbox. 

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Yann


This is your SolarWakeup for July 23rd

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Yann