This is your SolarWakeup for June 19th, 2018

Vistra Owns Gas and Coal, Buys Big Storage. Yesterday, word went out that Vistra Energy selected FlexGen for its first energy storage plant. The 10MW / 42MWh system is being added to the Upton 2 Solar Farm, which is located in Texas and has a capacity of 180MW. You’ve heard about FlexGen here on SolarWakeup, as I interviewed their CEO, Josh Prueher, on SolarWakeup Live! a few months ago. Vistra has been in the news because it bought Dynegy and owns 41GW of power across the Country and has in recent times announced the closure of over 4GW of coal. This project is the largest in Texas but I expect this to be surpassed even by itself. Definitely a big win for FlexGen, a longtime supporter of this publication.

What Does This Mean? Let’s hear it directly from the Vistra CEO who spoke to CNBC’s Jim Cramer a few months ago and said that coal will not have a renaissance and the cost of storage is dropping dramatically. This was at the same time that the company was building the Upton 2 solar farm but had not finalized the storage project which now makes financial sense for the shareholders investing in the project. My continued expectation is that storage has the ability to turn renewables into the replacement for power plants we need to get to 100% renewables.

Vistra Sees More Storage In CA and NY. What if, Vistra’s portfolio is replaced by storage? I don’t mean around the edges but MW for MW of capacity. I know this is a hypothetical but if you read the expectations from the Vistra investor’s day presentation, you see that they expect big storage in CA and NY in particular. For example, Dynegy has a couple of power plants in California in load centers near the Bay Area, including Oakland which was a particular focus in the last PG&E storage RFP. That’s 165MW of oil generation replaced by energy storage without generation that could come from faraway solar. You can see the GWh of storage adding up really quickly.

Picking Winners And Losers May Not Work. With an economic policy that looks to pick winners from a previous decade, it looks like the market is saying they don’t care. Even coal operators are shrugging their shoulders at the efforts to save power plants through emergency measures.

Will I See You In Chicago? We’re starting the day with the director of the Illinois Power Agency which recently set the subsidy levels for low income, community solar and C&I solar and working our way through discussions with policy and market experts. No matter what market segment you work in, come join the crowd to get your networking and dealmaking skills on. solarwakeuplive.com for tickets. See you Thursday!

Opinion

Have a great day!

Yann