Ensuring Generation Growth. The language coming from the US offshore development companies is concerning as many of them are seeing no path to start of construction. The issue at hand is that the proforma is upside down, costs from interest rates, supply chain and inflation causing revenues to miss the mark on the capex that it will take to build GW of offshore wind. The problem is the need for generation is expanding faster than expected to we need to build all of the generation possible. That leaves a couple options for these wind projects, let utilities ratebase it or force the markets to renegotiate the offtake agreements. In the meantime, it’s important to accelerate the interconnection bottleneck and get more solar/storage projects financed and built.

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Investing In Ecosystems. American politics mandates that you have to accomplish big things in your first two years if you can, because the election cycle eats you up in the second half of your first term and you likely lost Congressional seats in the mid-terms. Biden had the Chips Act, Bipartisan Infrastructure and Inflation Reduction Act find his signature in that first half and the administration has been busy since then. The interesting part of that is not the politics for the point I want to make today, it’s how the administration is working on all angles of the trillions of private dollars that will follow these markets. Invest in the infrastructure that enables roads, charging, and wires that will allow electrification to be resilient. Fund training for construction, factories and maintenance of a new portfolio of assets. Expand the markets that will demand the production of everything: cars, batteries, renewable energy and more. For example, most people love their EVs but some will complain about charging infrastructure that could limit their recommendation. Some want more solar, but the interconnection queue is clogged from outdated wires. All of this is wonky and early but in order to see trillions in economic growth trickle through the system, it has to get done.

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Yann


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Yann