Solar To Surpass Wind In 18 Months, Become Fourth Largest Energy Capacity In The World

By Frank Andorka, Senior Correspondent

energy capacity

The sun slowly starts its global domination.

Look out, wind – solar is about to catch you.

That’s the headline from Frost & Sullivan’s recent analysis Global Power Industry Outlook, 2018, which posits that solar will surpass wind in global energy capacity starting in 2020, making it the fourth largest source of energy generation behind coal, gas and hydro. Less than a year ago, solar surpassed nuclear energy to reach fifth place.

The report says increased battery energy storage capabilities, surges in merger and acquisition activities, and disruptive energy start-ups are the primary reasons the renewable energy sector is seeing this surge – and solar has, so far, been the primary beneficiary of this energy capacity expansion.

The report also predicts that $2.2 trillion will be invested in new energy capacity through 2021, including more than $600 billion in the solar sector alone.

“To navigate through current trends and challenges, organizations must start embracing business models that enhance operational and process efficiency while reducing costs,” said said Vasanth Krishnan, Energy & Environment Analyst at Frost & Sullivan. “Adopting disruptive digital solutions that focus on consumer needs will bring the organization closer to technological and efficiency transformation.”

The report also highlights several other global energy sector trends, including:

  • The 3D’s of Power – Decarbonization, Decentralization, Digitalization – continue to be underlying factors determining the global power market landscape;
  • The residential battery storage market will be the fastest growing in 2018 driven largely by the surge in the behind-the-meter residential deployments in the US, Germany, and Australia;
  • “Analyzing long-term scenarios and defining positioning strategies should be key focus areas for industry participants in the long term,” noted Krishnan. “Also, as the renewable and distributed energy markets mature, a large installed capacity of equipment will need to be serviced, offering attractive growth prospects within the operations and maintenance sector.”

    For access to the executive summary, click here.

    Deloitte Says Businesses Want To – And Are – Fighting Climate Change

    By Frank Andorka, Senior Correspondent

    Deloitte

    Water wet. Pope Catholic. Businesses are trying to fight climate change.

    Go figure.

    According to Deloitte’s eighth annual Energy Resources Report, businesses and consumers are moving forward to create what it calls a “virtuous cycle” of sustainability, including moving to cleaner energy sources like solar. But the study also finds what instinct might tell you from watching American behavior over the past 30 years – businesses are leading the charge, and the people are following.

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    The survey questioned more than 1,500 residential consumers and 600 businesses on their energy use patterns and found that “is leading many businesses to develop and deploy new tools for monitoring and reducing energy consumption, evolve their energy management policies and practices, explore expanding their use of renewable energy sources, and integrate their resource management programs more closely with their operations.”

    Study authors also found 7 in 10 businesses say their customers expect them to get at least some of their energy from renewable sources, with 48% of them saying they are actively trying to do so. And even more telling was this statistic: 21% of the businesses say they are trying to green their energy consumption as a result of demands from business partners.

    That’s why it’s so important to have businesses like Target and Walmart at the top of the Solar Energy Industries Association’s Solar Means Business report every year – with their extensive supply chains that extend throughout the world, decisions at the corporate level have real-world effects throughout the entire supply chain.

    And that influence isn’t limited to supply chain partners. The authors write:

    Residential consumers, particularly younger ones, seem increasingly keen on using clean energy sources in general, and on expanding the use of wind and solar power more specifically.

    Such findings aren’t entirely a surprise to long-term solar industry observers, but it does provide some data to support those who say the clean energy revolution is only just beginning and will continue to grow for the foreseeable future.

    Read the full report below.

    Deloitte Resources Survey 20181261

    Illinois OKs Long-Term Renewables Procurement Plan

    By Frank Andorka, Senior Correspondent

    What Happened:Yesterday, the Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC) approved the state’s Long-Term Resources Procurement Plan (also known as “The Plan”), an overarching roadmap for the state to reach 25% renewable energy by 2025.

    • The Long-Term Renewable Resources Procurement Plan arose out of the Future Energy Jobs Act of 2016.
    • “With the approval of this ambitious plan, Illinois takes another step toward becoming a national leader in affordable clean energy. A more diverse power portfolio, which includes wind and solar, makes the grid more stable and affordable.

    Illinois

    SolarWakeup’s View:  Now that’s what’s called vision.

    As expected, the Illinois Commerce Commission approved the Long-Term Renewable Resources Procurement Plan (the Plan), bringing to fruition the vision of Illinois lawmakers that began two years ago when the state’s legislature, utilities and clean energy advocates pushed for the passage of the Future Energy Jobs Act.

    What made the Illinois plan unusual was the widespread support it received across all segments of the energy economy in the state. While not unheard of (California’s utility/legislature/renewable-energy partnership is a prime example), the Illinois plan is unusual, especially in the Midwest. Decisions like this bode well for the future of solar in the middle of the country.

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    As I wrote last week as passage moved closer:

    As the Midwest has moved – often glacially – toward its own solar future, most observers have pegged Minnesota as the early leader that has stood clearly head and shoulders above all the other states in the region. But I believe that as the Plan moves forward that it won’t be long before Minnesota is looking over its shoulder to see Illinois quickly approaching.

    One of my favorite Illinois renewables observers, Christie Hicks, manager, Clean Energy Regulatory Implementation for the Environmental Defense Fund, said the following on the ICC’s decision:

    “Hundreds of millions of investment dollars will soon be flowing into developing clean wind and solar projects that will power Illinois homes and businesses. Not only is Illinois solidifying its place at the forefront of America’s clean energy economy, it’s showing other states how to provide equitable access to renewables.”

    We’re pretty pumped about the approval here at SolarWakeup, too, because it will make our SolarWakeup Live! Chicago stop later this year even more intense. We plan on arriving in the Windy City when it’s a little warmer (see this summer; We’re coming to Chicago this summer) to break it this plan down for you and what it means for the future clean energy in the Land of Lincoln.

    We can’t wait, so stay tuned – details coming soon.

    More:

    Illinois Is Coming For You, Minnesota

    17-0838 Final Order

    Illinois Is Coming For You, Minnesota

    By Frank Andorka, Senior Correspondent

    What Happened:Illinois is inching closer to finalizing its Long-Term Renewable Resources Procurement Plan next month as the Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC) begins its final deliberations.

    • Environmental Defense Fund (EDF) Manager for Clean Energy Regulatory Implementation Christie Hicks says could jumpstart renewable energy in the state.
    • The Long-Term Renewable Resources Procurement Plan arose out of the Future Energy Jobs Act of 2016.
    • Currently before the ICC, the final plan should be approved on April 3.

    SolarWakeup’s View:  When Illinois lawmakers, utilities and clean energy advocates joined forces in 2016 to sign the Future Energy Jobs Act into law, they knew the end goal – jump-starting the Land of Lincoln’s renewable energy industry – wasn’t going to arrive overnight. But now, two years into the process, an overarching roadmap for the state to reach 25% renewable energy by 2025 is slightly more than 10 days away from being finalized.

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    Called the Long-Term Renewable Resources Procurement Plan, it is currently before the ICC – Illinois’ public utilities regulatory body – and is scheduled to be approved on April 3. “The Plan,” as it’s known among Illinois clean energy insiders, has been the result of two years of input from all involved stakeholders and is one that is almost universally supported.

    Hicks does offer one small caution, however. In the final round of briefs in the case, a group known as the “Joint Solar Parties” (a coalition of trade organizations) called for changes to the lottery process by which projects are selected for pricing blocks in the Adjustable Block Program. They argued instead for guaranteed Block 2 pricing for all projects that submit within the initial 14-day opening of the Program, and reduced penalties for projects that receive “small subscriber” adders but fail to meet their small subscriber obligations. Hicks writes that these changes, if adopted, might put a damper on the Plan’s overall success, but she hopes the ICC has the wisdom to adopt the process suggested by the IPA.

    As the Midwest has moved – often glacially – toward its own solar future, most observers have pegged Minnesota as the early leader that has stood clearly head and shoulders above all the other states in the region. But I believe that as the Plan moves forward that it won’t be long before Minnesota is looking over its shoulder to see Illinois quickly approaching.

    This article was updated at 7:19 pm on 3/26/18 to add information to the paragraph describing Hicks’ cautionary note. We thank Hicks for the clarification

    More:

    Illinois is about to release its plan to kick-start new renewables. Here’s what you need to know.